A photon checks into a hotel and is asked if he needs any help with his luggage. He says, “No, I’m traveling light.”
The Drake Equation
In 1961, following an early SETI experiment using radio telescopes called Project Ozma, astronomer Frank Drake arranged a historic meeting at the National Radio Astronomy Observatory in Green Bank, West Virginia. The ten attendees - among them a young Carl Sagan - discussed the feasibility and methodology of detecting extraterrestrial civilizations using radio astronomy. They formulated the Drake Equation - a rough, speculative means of estimating the possible number of current technologically-advanced civilizations in the galaxy.
N = the number of advanced extraterrestrial civilizations potentially detectable by radio signals in the Milky Way Galaxy.
Depending on the values used for each variable, N can work out to be hundreds of thousands or more, or very few.
R* = Rate of new star formation.
One estimate is 7 stars per year.
Fp = Percentage of stars with planetary systems around them.
New solar systems are being discovered every year.
Ne = Number of planets per star system capable of sustaining life.
Depending upon the temperature, type, and size of the star, the habitable zone of a planet for Earth-like life may be nearer or further from its star. Based on our own solar system, we might guess 1 or 2.
Fl = Fraction of those planets upon which life appears.
How many of those habitable planets upon which life has developed is difficult to estimate. In our own solar system, it’s at least 1 - there is a good chance that at one point, life developed on Mars, though traces of it have yet to be found.
Fi = Fraction of those planets where intelligent life appears.
Estimates vary wildly. We know it’s happened at least once here on Earth. As ‘intelligence’ is subjective, it may be that it has developed in other non-human, communicating species, like whales.
Fc = Fraction of those societies that develop advanced communication technology and send signals into space.
Intentional or unintentional, other civilizations might transmit identifiable signals into outer space that modern Earth technology could pick up.
L = Lifetime of communicative civilizations.
Do technologically-capable civilizations inevitably self-destruct, or can they last forever? This is an immensely uncertain question. We’ve been communicating with radio waves for fewer than 100 years, with the long-term survival of our species and our status as ‘technological’ uncertain.
According to research from Charles Paxton, fisheries ecologist and statistician at Scotland’s University of St. Andrews, published in the Journal of Zoology this month, the giant squid could grow to reach as much as 65 feet. But even that is a “conservative analysis,” as size could protect against their #1 predator.
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In August of 1977, a group of astronomers examining radio transmissions in Ohio received a mysterious signal from an unknown source.
Shocked by its incredible length — 72 seconds — one scientist scribbled “Wow!” next to the recording, inadvertently giving the unusual communication a nickname that would last decades.
Now, after 40 years of grappling with possible explanations for the Wow! signal — which even include the possibility of aliens — scientists at the Center for Planetary Science have finally solved the puzzle.
A comet unknown to researchers in the 1970s likely caused the signal, and researchers were able to test that theory in a recent fly-by. Read more (6/8/17)
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Technology then and now
GIF made by Sixpenceee. Original video via YouTube.
Fish on Wheels
Stardate: 2258.42...or, uh, 4... Whatever. Life is weird, at least we've got science.
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